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Stablecoin supply falls $14.2B in largest drop since June 2022

Stablecoin supply contracted $14.2 billion over 30 days ending Nov. 9, the largest drop since June 2022, as USDT traded below $1 and Coinbase's Bitcoin premium stayed negative.

Stablecoin supply falls $14.2B in biggest 30-day drop since June 2022
WitnessStablecoin supply falls $14.2B in biggest 30-day drop since June 2022sergeitokmakov / pixabay

Outputs

  1. Stablecoin supply fell $14.2 billion over 30 days ending Nov. 9, according to Glassnode.

  2. The July 1 contraction measured $9.5 billion as Bitcoin traded below $58,000.

  3. USDT, the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, traded slightly below its $1 peg.

  4. The Coinbase Premium Index fell to -0.27% on Oct. 29, its lowest since November 2022.

  5. CryptoQuant reported a 284,000 BTC decline in its Bitcoin demand measure over 30 days.

Stablecoin supply fell $14.2 billion over the 30 days ending Nov. 9, according to Glassnode. Glassnode described it as the biggest 30-day drop in more than four years and the largest contraction since June 2022.

Glassnode’s comparison placed the latest move above the $9.5 billion contraction recorded as Bitcoin fell below $58,000 on July 1. June 2022 remains the sharper benchmark, when supply fell nearly $30 billion.

The latest contraction erased more dollar liquidity than the July episode. It also remained less than half the nearly $30 billion reduction from June 2022.

What does the supply contraction mean?

Stablecoin liquidity serves as a broad gauge of crypto market sentiment. Glassnode said: “A shrinking supply means holders are redeeming stablecoins for dollars and taking that cash out of the market, which leaves less fuel for a rally.”

The redemption mechanism does not require a bitcoin sale. A holder can exchange a stablecoin for dollars and remove that cash from crypto, reducing the dollar-denominated liquidity available to trading desks and venues even without a bitcoin transaction.

Tether’s USDT, the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, continued to trade slightly below its $1 peg, according to TradingView data. Glassnode attributed the discount to the same pressure driving investors to rotate out of stablecoins. Because USDT leads the category by market capitalization, its discount is relevant to the aggregate supply figure.

A return to growth in the 30-day supply change would be the first sign that new money was entering, Glassnode said. That indicator provides the next checkpoint for determining whether redemption pressure is easing or persisting.

What does the Coinbase premium show?

The Coinbase Premium Index remained negative on Wednesday after reaching a four-year low at the end of October. The measure compares Coinbase’s BTC/USD price with Binance’s BTC/USDT price, so a negative reading places Coinbase below its Binance reference.

The index fell to -0.27% on Oct. 29, its lowest level since November 2022. Bitcoin traded near 11-week lows as the broader crypto metrics pointed to weakening demand.

CryptoQuant contributing analyst Amr Taha wrote: “This unusually deep discount suggests weaker relative demand or greater selling pressure on Coinbase, a major venue for US-based trading activity.” His analysis gives operators two readings for the discount: reduced demand or heavier selling on a major US trading venue.

For market makers and routing desks, a sustained discount complicates arbitrage and price alignment across the two venues. The measure does not resolve which pressure dominates, making CryptoQuant’s separate demand series a useful cross-check.

On Tuesday, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant reported that its measure of Bitcoin demand fell by 284,000 BTC over 30 days. The decline was the most pronounced over that period since March 2025, providing a second dataset aligned with weaker market demand.

Stablecoin supply captures changes in the stock of stablecoin balances, while the Coinbase premium measures relative spot demand across two venues. Their direction aligns, strengthening the liquidity signal without establishing which mechanism caused the decline.

What could reverse the contraction?

The next 30-day supply reading is the clearest near-term checkpoint. Glassnode said renewed growth would be the first sign of incoming money; without that reversal, persistent redemptions would continue to constrain stablecoin-denominated liquidity and keep venue-level demand indicators under scrutiny.

via research.glassnode.com (Original)

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